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Travelers are going back to hotels. Airbnb cleaning fees got too high, and cities keep limiting short-term rentals.

How long do you give it?

Two years

Bet against the rental apps too?

Yes

Done. Three ways to play it:

24 stocks171 stories11 earnings calls4 city rules

RecommendedHotels over rentals

Buys hotel chains, bets the same against home-rental apps. Only the gap counts.

Exit: rentals win by 12%Running

SimpleJust the hotels

A basket of hotel chains and booking sites.

Exit: down 15%Run

PatientWait for the rules

Buys after two more big cities cap short-term rentals.

Exit: no new caps for six monthsRun

Reply to littlequant

Friday, October 23

9:41

littlequantnow

“Hotels over rentals” is running on play money.

9:41

Travelers are going back to hotels. Airbnb cleaning fees got too high, and cities keep limiting short-term rentals.

How long do you give it?

Two years

Bet against the rental apps too?

Yes

Done. Three ways to play it:

24 stocks171 stories11 earnings calls4 city rules

Hotels over rentalsRunning

Just the hotelsSimple

Wait for the rulesPatient

Reply to littlequant

A preview of the app. Examples are illustrative.

Your take, without the 14 tabs.

Trading a hunch today means brokers, odds, threads and alerts. littlequant turns it into one strategy with one exit.

The hard way 14 tabs · 17 alerts · no exit

RobinhoodPolymarketr/travelTradingViewGoogle FlightsX+8

ABNB −3.8% premarketnow · price alert

Danibro should I short airbnb??

1m candles · 47 indicators

Prediction marketNew city rental caps this year?
62% Yes ▲4

r/travel · 389 comments$240 in cleaning fees for two nights
“hotels are cheaper now lol”

HLT	=B2*0.15	#REF!
MAR	268.40	???
ABNB	short?	#N/A

Cities tighten the rules on short-term rentals

This weekABNB earnings ThuMAR FriCity vote Wed

when do I get out???

17alerts

With littlequant 1 card · 1 exit · 0 tabs

Your take

Travelers are going back to hotels. Airbnb cleaning fees got too high, and cities keep limiting short-term rentals.

Strategy

Hotels over rentals

Running · play money

$1,000play money, since October 3

hotels vs rentals · 20 days

BuysHotel chains$500
Bets againstHome-rental apps$500
Gets outIf rentals win by 12%

How close the exit is8 points of room

4% todayexit 12%

Checked 1,440 times today. You'll hear from it when something changes.

Any take with a market behind it.

More takes to try

ρ 0.81z −2.1ρ −0.46vol 18.2Mσ 31%max DD −9%LEN +0.9%DHI +1.3%Sharpe 1.4β 1.34EPS +12%PRU +0.5%carry 2.3%DKNG +2.0%NVO +2.2%ρ 0.81z −2.1ρ −0.46vol 18.2Mσ 31%max DD −9%LEN +0.9%DHI +1.3%Sharpe 1.4β 1.34EPS +12%PRU +0.5%carry 2.3%DKNG +2.0%NVO +2.2%

z +1.7carry 2.3%EPS +12%H +1.1%spread 0.4ETH −0.4%ρ 0.81OI 2.1MUBER +0.7%HLT +1.4%IV 44BKNG +0.6%ABNB −2.3%θ −0.08LEN +0.9%z +1.7carry 2.3%EPS +12%H +1.1%spread 0.4ETH −0.4%ρ 0.81OI 2.1MUBER +0.7%HLT +1.4%IV 44BKNG +0.6%ABNB −2.3%θ −0.08LEN +0.9%

spread 0.4MAR +0.9%ρ −0.46SIG −1.9%ρ 0.81max DD −9%LEN +0.9%IV 44SMH −1.4%SPOT +1.2%β 0.62HLT +1.4%MET +0.8%Δ 0.55LYV +1.7%spread 0.4MAR +0.9%ρ −0.46SIG −1.9%ρ 0.81max DD −9%LEN +0.9%IV 44SMH −1.4%SPOT +1.2%β 0.62HLT +1.4%MET +0.8%Δ 0.55LYV +1.7%

z −2.1MET +0.8%Δ 0.55CMPS +6.4%SIG −1.9%SMH −1.4%σ 31%SPOT +1.2%MAR +0.9%BKNG +0.6%RSI 63PRU +0.5%ETH −0.4%max DD −9%EPS +12%z −2.1MET +0.8%Δ 0.55CMPS +6.4%SIG −1.9%SMH −1.4%σ 31%SPOT +1.2%MAR +0.9%BKNG +0.6%RSI 63PRU +0.5%ETH −0.4%max DD −9%EPS +12%

BKNG +0.6%MAR +0.9%Sharpe 1.4HLT +1.4%NVDA −1.8%Δ 0.55ABNB −2.3%β 1.34BTC +1.1%ETH −0.4%P(FDA yes) 57%vol 18.2MLEN +0.9%LYV +1.7%XOM +0.8%BKNG +0.6%MAR +0.9%Sharpe 1.4HLT +1.4%NVDA −1.8%Δ 0.55ABNB −2.3%β 1.34BTC +1.1%ETH −0.4%P(FDA yes) 57%vol 18.2MLEN +0.9%LYV +1.7%XOM +0.8%

DKNG +2.0%XOM +0.8%HLT +1.4%P(FDA yes) 57%RGA +1.2%LLY +1.6%XBI +2.1%PRU +0.5%Δ 0.55ABNB −2.3%ρ −0.46β 0.62DHI +1.3%LEN +0.9%ρ 0.81DKNG +2.0%XOM +0.8%HLT +1.4%P(FDA yes) 57%RGA +1.2%LLY +1.6%XBI +2.1%PRU +0.5%Δ 0.55ABNB −2.3%ρ −0.46β 0.62DHI +1.3%LEN +0.9%ρ 0.81

LEN +0.9%θ −0.08LLY +1.6%P(FDA yes) 57%10Y 4.12%BTC +1.1%RGA +1.2%ETH −0.4%carry 2.3%NVDA −1.8%HLT +1.4%LYV +1.7%DKNG +2.0%MAR +0.9%spread 0.4LEN +0.9%θ −0.08LLY +1.6%P(FDA yes) 57%10Y 4.12%BTC +1.1%RGA +1.2%ETH −0.4%carry 2.3%NVDA −1.8%HLT +1.4%LYV +1.7%DKNG +2.0%MAR +0.9%spread 0.4

ETH −0.4%spread 0.410Y 4.12%RSI 63PRU +0.5%H +1.1%NVO +2.2%NVDA −1.8%ρ 0.81CMPS +6.4%HLT +1.4%XOM +0.8%SPOT +1.2%BTC +1.1%BKNG +0.6%ETH −0.4%spread 0.410Y 4.12%RSI 63PRU +0.5%H +1.1%NVO +2.2%NVDA −1.8%ρ 0.81CMPS +6.4%HLT +1.4%XOM +0.8%SPOT +1.2%BTC +1.1%BKNG +0.6%

MET +0.8%NVDA −1.8%max DD −9%EPS +12%XBI +2.1%HLT +1.4%spread 0.4GRMN +0.9%carry 2.3%ρ −0.46LLY +1.6%β 1.34Δ 0.55BTC +1.1%DHI +1.3%MET +0.8%NVDA −1.8%max DD −9%EPS +12%XBI +2.1%HLT +1.4%spread 0.4GRMN +0.9%carry 2.3%ρ −0.46LLY +1.6%β 1.34Δ 0.55BTC +1.1%DHI +1.3%

NVO +2.2%DKNG +2.0%SMH −1.4%OI 2.1MXBI +2.1%LEN +0.9%UBER +0.7%EPS +12%z −2.1DXY 101.4BTC +1.1%β 1.34MET +0.8%P(FDA yes) 57%ABNB −2.3%NVO +2.2%DKNG +2.0%SMH −1.4%OI 2.1MXBI +2.1%LEN +0.9%UBER +0.7%EPS +12%z −2.1DXY 101.4BTC +1.1%β 1.34MET +0.8%P(FDA yes) 57%ABNB −2.3%

PRU +0.5%H +1.1%σ 31%CMPS +6.4%XBI +2.1%ETH −0.4%carry 2.3%P(FDA yes) 57%spread 0.4β 0.62SPOT +1.2%IV 44DHI +1.3%BKNG +0.6%LLY +1.6%PRU +0.5%H +1.1%σ 31%CMPS +6.4%XBI +2.1%ETH −0.4%carry 2.3%P(FDA yes) 57%spread 0.4β 0.62SPOT +1.2%IV 44DHI +1.3%BKNG +0.6%LLY +1.6%

β 1.34z −2.110Y 4.12%OI 2.1Mcarry 2.3%BKNG +0.6%LYV +1.7%NVDA −1.8%EPS +12%MAR +0.9%DXY 101.4Δ 0.55P(FDA yes) 57%ρ 0.81XBI +2.1%β 1.34z −2.110Y 4.12%OI 2.1Mcarry 2.3%BKNG +0.6%LYV +1.7%NVDA −1.8%EPS +12%MAR +0.9%DXY 101.4Δ 0.55P(FDA yes) 57%ρ 0.81XBI +2.1%

H +1.1%DHI +1.3%SPOT +1.2%GRMN +0.9%IV 44RSI 63LLY +1.6%MET +0.8%carry 2.3%10Y 4.12%ρ 0.81XOM +0.8%Sharpe 1.4spread 0.4vol 18.2MH +1.1%DHI +1.3%SPOT +1.2%GRMN +0.9%IV 44RSI 63LLY +1.6%MET +0.8%carry 2.3%10Y 4.12%ρ 0.81XOM +0.8%Sharpe 1.4spread 0.4vol 18.2M

β 1.34RYAAY +1.1%carry 2.3%DKNG +2.0%H +1.1%MAR +0.9%spread 0.4EPS +12%BKNG +0.6%vol 18.2MOI 2.1MΔ 0.55SIG −1.9%LLY +1.6%max DD −9%β 1.34RYAAY +1.1%carry 2.3%DKNG +2.0%H +1.1%MAR +0.9%spread 0.4EPS +12%BKNG +0.6%vol 18.2MOI 2.1MΔ 0.55SIG −1.9%LLY +1.6%max DD −9%

ρ 0.81z +1.7GRMN +0.9%H +1.1%LLY +1.6%XOM +0.8%RYAAY +1.1%MET +0.8%β 1.34BKNG +0.6%P(FDA yes) 57%MAR +0.9%β 0.62HLT +1.4%BTC +1.1%ρ 0.81z +1.7GRMN +0.9%H +1.1%LLY +1.6%XOM +0.8%RYAAY +1.1%MET +0.8%β 1.34BKNG +0.6%P(FDA yes) 57%MAR +0.9%β 0.62HLT +1.4%BTC +1.1%

Hedge funds have quants.
Now you've got a little one.

All the math, in plain words.

Every strategy has an exit

You see it before you start, and it only moves if you move it.

Hotels over rentalsexit set

4% todayexit 12%

Room before it gets out8 points

Open it up

Every rule and number, yours to change.

WatchHotels vs rentalsIfRentals +12%ThenExit

Get out if rentals win by12%

Run it

Play money now. Real money when it's live, with your approval on every trade.

Hotels over rentalsrunning

Buys hotel chains$500

Bets against home-rental apps$500

Play money · next check in 5 min

It tells you what changed

When news moves your take, you hear it first.

Your take moved

Two more big cities capped short-term rentals. “Wait for the rules” just started.

Questions

Do I need money to start?

No. Everything runs on play money first, on real prices.

Who places the trades?

On play money, littlequant does. With real money, you approve every trade.

Is this financial advice?

No. It turns your own take into strategies and explains them. You choose what to run.

What if I'm wrong?

Every strategy has an exit you see before you start.

What's your take?

Before you see a single strategy, littlequant reads everything on it.

Here's what it read for

Example takes

VerdictLeans your way

5 of 6 signals support your take. One is neutral.

What it read 36s

24stocks

171stories

11earnings calls

4markets

PricesNewsEarnings callsPrediction marketsSocial postsFund flows

Prediction markets odds

Two more big US cities cap short-term rentals this year62%

Hotel occupancy beats last year in Q457%

Rental nights grow faster than hotel nights in 202738%

Markets lean your way.

Hotel chains vs home-rental apps, 12 months Hotel chainsHome-rental apps

Hotels beat the rental apps by 22 points in a year.

From the earnings calls quote

Guests tell us the cleaning fees and the checkout chores pushed them back to hotels.

CFO of a US hotel group · Q3 call

Hotels hear it from their guests.

News on your take headlines

Another city caps short-term rentals at 90 nights a year2h

A rental app adds all-in prices after fee complaints5h

Hotel chains raise their outlook for the year1d

Two headlines for, one against.

Posts about cleaning fees social

12 weeks ago2.6× in 12 weeks

People complain a lot, and complaints don't always change bookings.

What moved with it correlation

Hotel chains+0.81

Booking sites+0.52

Cruise lines+0.34

Airlines+0.27

Home-rental apps-0.46

The rental apps move against the hotels.

What could go wrong and what covers it

The rental apps cut their feesThe exit at 12% caps the loss.

Cities roll their rules back“Wait for the rules” never starts.

Travel slows down for everyoneLong hotels, short rentals mostly cancels out.

supports your takepoints against itneutral

Illustrative data. None of these quotes, markets or prices are real.

Coming soon. Play money first, no card.Read the news

You call it.littlequant trades it.

Your take, without the 14 tabs.

Hotels over rentals

Any take with a market behind it.

More takes to try

Hedge funds have quants.Now you've got a little one.

Every strategy has an exit

Open it up

Run it

It tells you what changed

Questions

What's your take?

What it read 36s

Prediction markets odds

Hotel chains vs home-rental apps, 12 months Hotel chainsHome-rental apps

From the earnings calls quote

News on your take headlines

Posts about cleaning fees social

What moved with it correlation

What could go wrong and what covers it

You call it.
littlequant trades it.

Hedge funds have quants.
Now you've got a little one.